Bayesian integration of simulator data and judgment to develop empirically-based reference values for human reliability (2021)

Supervisors: Prof. Dr. Horst-Michael Prasser (ETH Zürich, Switzerland), Prof. Dr. Marloes H. Maathuis (ETH Zürich, Switzerland), Dr. Luca Podofillini (Paul Scherrer Institute, Switzerland)

Keywords: Human Reliability Analysis, control room simulator, data variability, crew behavior models, Bayesian population variability models

The collection of human performance data from plant simulators is receiving renewed attention by the Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) community to improve the empirical basis of our models. However, gaps remain on how to incorporate the data into HRA models.