The present Ph.D. work aims at developing new quantitative models, based on Bayesian statistical methods, traceably integrating simulator data and expert judgment in the production of human failure probability values and bounds.

 References and links :

•  Greco SF, Podofillini L, and Dang VN. A Bayesian model to treat within-category and crew-to-crew variability in simulator data for Human Reliability Analysis. Reliab Eng Syst Safe 2021, 206:107309, ISSN 0951-8320. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095183202030805X
•  Greco SF, Podofillini L, and Dang VN. Crew performance variability in human error probability quantification: a methodology based on behavioral patterns from simulator data. Proc I Mech E Part O: J Risk and Reliability 2021, doi:10.1177/1748006X20986743. https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/1748006X20986743